Global PC shipments fell almost 10% in Q1 to less than 65 Million for the first time since 2007.
The total installed base of PCs and desktop computers (consumer and business) is over a billion, whereas mobile phones are at 6+ Billion and smartphones at over 2 Billion.
Most people who wanted to buy a Personal computer have probably purchased it already.
Businesses are replacing PC’s now every 5 years instead of 3 and consumers are replacing their mobile phones every 2 years, skipping the PC altogether.
Most new home owners are buying an Alexa or a Smart Television instead of a PC.
The replacement cycle for televisions is now 5 years worldwide and 4 years in the US. Which means that the average television will get replaced faster than the average PC.
The PC was both, a consuming and a producing device.
Since the consuming has largely shifted to the phone, the PC tends to be used more for producing (writing, developing, etc).
That means both for the home and the business, the % of time the PC gets used has reduced on average by 20-30%.
Which means your PC should last you 20%-25% more than before.
This does not look too good for PC manufacturers overall. In the mobile-first, cloud-first world, the PC is becoming a device similar to the bread maker- most homes dont need one and can make do with an oven instead of a specialized appliance.